While the world holds its collective breath for the outcome of the US election, the RBA finds itself stuck with sticky service inflation. What happened in Australia? The RBA just can’t win. While inflation has fallen from 3.8% in the June ...
Learn moreThe RBA left rate on hold at 4.35%. Governor Michele Bullock did not have time to watch the Melbourne Cup. For many, the RBA rate decision is what truly stops the nation. The recent big fall in headline inflation is good news but underlying infl...
Learn moreThe RBA has come under fire because it has not yet begun cutting interest rates like the Euro area, US, UK, Canada, and New Zealand. “RBA looking sillier by the day.” Stephen Koukoulas, Market Economics. However, the RBA did not rais...
Learn moreEven when central bankers are surprised, they do so conservatively. Jerome Powell cut rates 50 bps but then did his best to allay any concerns that the US economy is secretly worse than it seems. Meanwhile, in Oz, the RBA remains alert but not alar...
Learn moreThe RBA left rate on hold again at 4.35%. Michele Bullock, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), is feeling the pressure. Rates are falling elsewhere, even across the ditch in New Zealand. Comments from the Treasurer and a former Labor tr...
Learn moreWhat do central bankers like to do in their spare time? If the annual meeting in Jackson Hole Wyoming is a gauge, they like hiking and canoeing. Both activities typically follow a set route and are performed at a leisurely pace. Should we expect anythin...
Learn moreThe RBA left rates on hold at 4.25%. The RBA does not want to have to raise rate but it is deeply concerned about the forecasted path of inflation. Inflation is now expected to take even longer to fall within the target band! For the mome...
Learn moreContinuing good inflation data in the US has sent markets into the “great rotation”. However, the Federal Reserve still needs a little more good news before it decides to cut. In Australia, the all-important June quarter CPI print was a mixe...
Learn moreNo, r-star doesn’t stand for “rock star”! Rather, it is the official cash rate that has a neutral impact on an economy: neither contractionary nor expansionary. It is critical for both central bankers and investors. R-star is the i...
Learn moreLike a heroine in a horror movie that suddenly feels that something is not quite right, the RBA Board is starting to feel a little uneasy. Sure inflation is still sticky, the labour market tight, and the economy slowing but the consumer is reducing thei...
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