The RBA left rates on hold at 4.25%. The RBA does not want to have to raise rate but it is deeply concerned about the forecasted path of inflation. Inflation is now expected to take even longer to fall within the target band! For the mome...
Learn moreAt 10:08 am (AEST) on 15 July 2024, the ASX 200 broke the 8,000 barrier for the first time (see chart below). But unlike the breaking of the 7,000 mark in January 2020, it was more of a raspberry than a bugle call. There is too much uncertainty around t...
Learn moreNo, r-star doesn’t stand for “rock star”! Rather, it is the official cash rate that has a neutral impact on an economy: neither contractionary nor expansionary. It is critical for both central bankers and investors. R-star is the i...
Learn moreTourist and alternative lifestyle mecca Byron Bay may be getting stripped of its nudist beach but it is the RBA that is getting embarrassed by larger than expected figures! Meanwhile, the EU has started cutting, the US remains on course for cuts, Japan ...
Learn moreLike a heroine in a horror movie that suddenly feels that something is not quite right, the RBA Board is starting to feel a little uneasy. Sure inflation is still sticky, the labour market tight, and the economy slowing but the consumer is reducing thei...
Learn moreAgeing populations can be a real drag. A drag on government finances, debt, and economic growth. Many countries with fast ageing populations look to the future with foreboding. Australia however is doing better than most. Thanks to government foresight ...
Learn moreBridges may be crashing down, cargo ships sinking in the Red Sea, and the Panama canal drying up but the major stock markets continue to push new highs. If we are in an AI stock market bubble, surely ChatGPT would tell me? The US has gone from &ldqu...
Learn moreThe cash rate was left unchanged on Tuesday. RBA Governor Michele Bullock channelled Paul Atreidies at her press conference in talking about “keeping on the narrow path” to a soft landing. However, in terms of interest rate cuts, we are ...
Learn moreHave you ever looked at your credit card or mortgage interest payments and felt sick? Well, the US federal government is expected to pay USD 870 billion in interest payments this year which is around USD 48 billion more than it is expected to spend on d...
Learn moreUS tech stocks tore it up in February with Nvidia and Meta reaching new highs. Meanwhile, the Chinese stock market found its inner dragon, Germany’s green economics is seeing red, and Australia ponders strong wage growth, falling iron ore prices, ...
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