Inflation is rearing its ugly head again in the US and UK. Santa may find that the fire at the end of the chimney is hotter than he bargained for! Meanwhile, in Australia, the RBA has signalled that interest rate cuts are on their way as the Australian ...
Learn moreThe world is holding its breath as it waits to see what President-Elect Donald Trump will actually do with tariffs. But we have seen this movie before. Trump introduced tariffs in his first term, on steel, aluminum, solar panels, and washing machines; A...
Learn moreWhile the world holds its collective breath for the outcome of the US election, the RBA finds itself stuck with sticky service inflation. What happened in Australia? The RBA just can’t win. While inflation has fallen from 3.8% in the June ...
Learn moreThe RBA left rate on hold at 4.35%. Governor Michele Bullock did not have time to watch the Melbourne Cup. For many, the RBA rate decision is what truly stops the nation. The recent big fall in headline inflation is good news but underlying infl...
Learn moreEven when central bankers are surprised, they do so conservatively. Jerome Powell cut rates 50 bps but then did his best to allay any concerns that the US economy is secretly worse than it seems. Meanwhile, in Oz, the RBA remains alert but not alar...
Learn moreThe RBA left rate on hold again at 4.35%. Michele Bullock, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), is feeling the pressure. Rates are falling elsewhere, even across the ditch in New Zealand. Comments from the Treasurer and a former Labor tr...
Learn moreThe RBA left rates on hold at 4.25%. The RBA does not want to have to raise rate but it is deeply concerned about the forecasted path of inflation. Inflation is now expected to take even longer to fall within the target band! For the mome...
Learn moreAt 10:08 am (AEST) on 15 July 2024, the ASX 200 broke the 8,000 barrier for the first time (see chart below). But unlike the breaking of the 7,000 mark in January 2020, it was more of a raspberry than a bugle call. There is too much uncertainty around t...
Learn moreNo, r-star doesn’t stand for “rock star”! Rather, it is the official cash rate that has a neutral impact on an economy: neither contractionary nor expansionary. It is critical for both central bankers and investors. R-star is the i...
Learn moreTourist and alternative lifestyle mecca Byron Bay may be getting stripped of its nudist beach but it is the RBA that is getting embarrassed by larger than expected figures! Meanwhile, the EU has started cutting, the US remains on course for cuts, Japan ...
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