Three months into the job and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is still facing questions over his credibility. In particular, the bond market still has questions. Meanwhile, in Australia, the RBA governor stated that the RBA was willing to raise rates for the four ...
Learn moreThree months into the job and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is still facing questions over his credibility. In particular, the bond market still has questi ...
Learn moreThree months into the job and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is still facing questions over his credibility. In particular, the bond market still has questi ...
Learn moreWarsh wants the market to lead and the yield of US 30-year government bonds is sending him a message. Similarly, the yen may be sending a message to the Japanese PM. Meanwhile, Australia was steady as it goes, with inflation moving down, household spend ...
Learn moreWith the war in the Middle East petering out and after three rate rises this year, the RBA is feeling much better about inflation and its ability to deal with whatever comes next. Warsh put his stamp on the FOMC, and June marks ten years since the Brexi ...
Learn moreWe are now into the second month of the Iran War, and much like a tropical storm; it is unclear how long it will rage for and how much damage it will do. But the longer it goes on, the worse it will be for the global economy. ...
Learn moreAI bubble concerns morphed into the 'SaaSpocalypse' as AI agents threaten to eat all software and replace all jobs. Perhaps the governor of the RBA may feel a little nervous as the RBA wrestles with still-rising inflation. Elsewhere, Takaichi re ...
Learn moreIn 2025, Australia was the third-largest bond market globally with a total issuance of AUD 320 billion. 2026 could be even bigger. Through 27 January, AUD bond issuance has set a record pace this year, with over AUD 50.7 billion issued (see chart below) ...
Learn morePolitics overshadowed the economy in January. Fears of an AI bubble gave way to fears over Venezuela, Greenland, Iran, and Minnesota. However, economics cannot be ignored, and the month ended with the announcement of a new Fed chair, falling gold and si ...
Learn moreFor AI true believers, 2025 should have been the year that ushered in artificial general intelligence. For Trump true believers, 2025 was the year that Trump saved America, again. Everyone else was just happy that the AI boom did not crash and that ...
Learn moreThe RBA kept interest rates unchanged at 3.6%. It was a unanimous decision. And so it came to pass that the last two higher than expected monthly inflation indicators begot a higher than expected September-quarter inflation result. And the RBA gover ...
Learn morePresident Trump’s July 8 tariff deadline was extended to 1 August to give key negotiations more time. Japan and the EU both walked away with a 15% general tariff from their US “trade deals”. In return, they had to promise a lot of new ...
Learn moreIt has been a wild start to the year. Tariffs, floods, and Ange Postocoglou getting sacked at Tottenham 17-days after winning the Europa League! Despite all this, Australia’s real GDP grew 0.2% in the March quarter, on a quarterly basis (see chart ...
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