Bridges may be crashing down, cargo ships sinking in the Red Sea, and the Panama canal drying up but the major stock markets continue to push new highs. If we are in an AI stock market bubble, surely ChatGPT would tell me? The US has gone from &ldqu...
Learn moreStock markets in the US and Australia have been flirting with all time highs as the end of year rally continued into January but in China, the situation is not so grand. House prices and consumer spending are down again while stock market lows hav...
Learn moreThe copyright to Peter Pan is now in the public domain. While Peter won’t grow up, we have economies that are not quite ready to slow down all the way! The soft landing didn’t happen in 2023 but still looks good for 2024. What happ...
Learn moreCentral banks are still waiting to see more data before declaring victory against inflation but it seems like the war has already been won. ”Happy Xmas (The war is over).” Even better, a soft landing still seems the most likely outcome for t...
Learn moreWith the return of El Nino, conditions are hotting up in Australia. However, the US bond market is also feeling the heat with a sell-off leading to higher yields for longer-dated bonds. These are conditions not seen since the 1980s! Back in the People&r...
Learn moreThis was the month that disappointment in China’s missing economic rebound turned into schadenfreude shock over further dire developments in its property market. Meanwhile, Australia and the US continue to chug along with slowing inflation and eco...
Learn moreAustralia and the US are looking towards soft landings with inflation on the way down and resilient domestic economies. Japan may have begun monetary tightening while China and the UK remain economic disappointments. What is happening in Australia? ...
Learn moreThe RBA and Federal Reserve are both having a breather as inflation continues to head in the right direction. More interest rate increases are coming but their economies are proving resilient. The UK is an outlier with its stubbornly higher inflation. C...
Learn moreThe OECD recently released its forecast for global GDP for 2023. At 2.7 percent, it is the lowest growth rate since the GFC. Around the world, economies are improving, but the fight with inflation remains heated and will eventually impact growth. China ...
Learn moreFears of a financial meltdown in the US and Europe have faded and instead we have returned to regular broadcasting with slowing inflation and slowing economies. The UK with its stubborn inflation remains the odd country out. China is still benefiting fr...
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