News, 18 Oct 2024

Australia, why aren’t you cutting interest rates yet?

Chart of the Month - October 2024

The RBA has come under fire because it has not yet begun cutting interest rates like the Euro area, US, UK, Canada, and New Zealand. “RBA looking sillier by the day.” Stephen Koukoulas, Market Economics. However, the RBA did not rais...

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News, 01 Oct 2024

No alarms and no surprises, please

Economic Update - September 2024

Even when central bankers are surprised, they do so conservatively. Jerome Powell cut rates 50 bps but then did his best to allay any concerns that the US economy is secretly worse than it seems. Meanwhile, in Oz, the RBA remains alert but not alar...

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Insights, 19 Sep 2024

Blackstone bets big on Australia

Australian Spotlight - September 2024

When the world’s biggest alternative asset manager, USD 1.1 trillion AUM, makes some big bets on Australia, the world takes notice. Over 13 years, Blackstone has invested USD 17 billion in Australia. However, a single new investment announced ...

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Insights, 05 Sep 2024

Sun Worshippers

Chart of the Month - September 2024

“Sunbaker” Max Dupain’s 1938 photo captures Australians’ love of the sun. But this love affair has a dark side. Australia does not lead the world in terms of solar UV exposure but it does lead the world in the incidence of UV...

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News, 30 Aug 2024

Central Bank Cowboys

Economic Update - August 2024

What do central bankers like to do in their spare time? If the annual meeting in Jackson Hole Wyoming is a gauge, they like hiking and canoeing. Both activities typically follow a set route and are performed at a leisurely pace. Should we expect anythin...

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Insights, 26 Aug 2024

Riding the wave of LNG Exports

Australian Spotlight - August 2024

Many see LNG as a bridge to greener energy. Less emissions than coal and more reliable than wind and solar. For Australia it has come out of nowhere to be a golden bridge. But there is debate over how long that bridge will stretch. It may end sooner tha...

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News, 02 Aug 2024

Rotation and spinning

Economic Update - July 2024

Continuing good inflation data in the US has sent markets into the “great rotation”. However, the Federal Reserve still needs a little more good news before it decides to cut. In Australia, the all-important June quarter CPI print was a mixe...

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Insights, 25 Jul 2024

The ASX 200 breaks the 8,000 barrier

Australian Spotlight - July 2024

At 10:08 am (AEST) on 15 July 2024, the ASX 200 broke the 8,000 barrier for the first time (see chart below). But unlike the breaking of the 7,000 mark in January 2020, it was more of a raspberry than a bugle call. There is too much uncertainty around t...

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