The RBA left rate on hold again at 4.35%. Michele Bullock, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), is feeling the pressure. Rates are falling elsewhere, even across the ditch in New Zealand. Comments from the Treasurer and a former Labor tr...
Learn moreWhat do central bankers like to do in their spare time? If the annual meeting in Jackson Hole Wyoming is a gauge, they like hiking and canoeing. Both activities typically follow a set route and are performed at a leisurely pace. Should we expect anythin...
Learn moreContinuing good inflation data in the US has sent markets into the “great rotation”. However, the Federal Reserve still needs a little more good news before it decides to cut. In Australia, the all-important June quarter CPI print was a mixe...
Learn moreLike a heroine in a horror movie that suddenly feels that something is not quite right, the RBA Board is starting to feel a little uneasy. Sure inflation is still sticky, the labour market tight, and the economy slowing but the consumer is reducing thei...
Learn moreAt a Glance: The Federal Reserve's delays in the much anticipated rate cuts have widespread implications for the U.S. economy and the private sector. In this higher-for-longer interest rate environment, U.S. fund managers are deal...
Learn moreThe cash rate was left unchanged on Tuesday. It’s been a bumpy ride over the last 6 months in terms of economic data according to RBA Governor Michele Bullock. The weight of data in the last half of 2023 and early 2024 suggested that the next ...
Learn moreCentral banks have been wishin’ and hopin’ and thinkin’ and prayin' that inflation would keep falling all the way back to their 2% target. Sure, the last mile will be the hardest they said. Well the US and Australia have just hit i...
Learn moreIt’s not looking good for the Australian dollar. The AUD has been trending down against the greenback since 2021 (AUD/USD)(see chart below). Now, several factors have come together to add a few more anchors to the AUD; it’s down around 6% si...
Learn moreBridges may be crashing down, cargo ships sinking in the Red Sea, and the Panama canal drying up but the major stock markets continue to push new highs. If we are in an AI stock market bubble, surely ChatGPT would tell me? The US has gone from &ldqu...
Learn moreThe cash rate was left unchanged on Tuesday. RBA Governor Michele Bullock channelled Paul Atreidies at her press conference in talking about “keeping on the narrow path” to a soft landing. However, in terms of interest rate cuts, we are ...
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