Central banks are still waiting to see more data before declaring victory against inflation but it seems like the war has already been won. ”Happy Xmas (The war is over).” Even better, a soft landing still seems the most likely outcome for t...
Learn moreWith the return of El Nino, conditions are hotting up in Australia. However, the US bond market is also feeling the heat with a sell-off leading to higher yields for longer-dated bonds. These are conditions not seen since the 1980s! Back in the People&r...
Learn moreThe RBA did it again, raising interest rates by 25 bps to 4.10 percent on Tuesday: the highest level since April 2012. The world was a little different back in 2012, the RBA had been mostly cutting rates since the GFC and then governor Glen Stevens was ...
Learn moreFears of a financial meltdown in the US and Europe have faded and instead we have returned to regular broadcasting with slowing inflation and slowing economies. The UK with its stubborn inflation remains the odd country out. China is still benefiting fr...
Learn moreThere is no rest for the wicked and so after a short pause, the RBA is back at it again. Dr Lowe raised the cash rate by another 25 bps on Tuesday with the promise of more increases if needed. Inflation may be slowly falling, but not fast enough for the...
Learn moreAfter ten consecutive interest rate rises, the RBA finally decided to pause. The interest rate remains at 3.5 percent. There is always a lagged response to interest rate rises but it has taken a while for the Australian economy to slow down. On top ...
Learn moreOn 7 March, the RBA did what was expected and raised the official interest rates by 25 bps to 3.60 percent. It was the tenth increase in a row. More increases will come this year, but we should start to see a slowdown in rate increases going forward. Th...
Learn moreCommentary on Reserve Bank Board Interest Rate Decision - 7 February 2022 On 7 February, Australia had its own version of Groundhog Day with the RBA Board increasing the official interest rates by 25 bps to 3.35 percent. It was the ninth increase in...
Learn morePositive economic results in December makes for a complex picture going forward. Central banks have seen enough of a slowdown in inflation to moderate their rate rises, but not enough of a slowdown in their economies to stop raising rates in Q1. Further...
Learn moreOn 6 December, the RBA Board increased the official interest rates by 25 bps to 3.10 percent. The RBA remains committed to increasing interest rates as high as needed to bring down domestic demand to a more “sustainable balance”. While t...
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