For AI true believers, 2025 should have been the year that ushered in artificial general intelligence. For Trump true believers, 2025 was the year that Trump saved America, again. Everyone else was just happy that the AI boom did not crash and that ...
Learn morePrivate credit is stepping in, as Australia's middle market borrowing landscape undergoes a structural shake-up. Bank exposure to unrated mid-sized borrowers has been reduced, and it is this realignment that has created a sustained supp ...
Learn moreNovember brought some resolution but not much extra clarity on last month’s headlines. The US government shutdown ended with a whimper. Data is again flowing from US agencies, but not yet enough to fill in the gaps created by the shutdown. Some AI ...
Learn moreStronger than expected inflation data for the September quarter and a jump in unemployment in Australia have scuttled any chance of a rate cut soon. Despite disappointment from mortgage holders, the RBA remains calmly confident and cautious. The US gove ...
Learn moreThe RBA kept interest rates unchanged at 3.6%. It was a unanimous decision. And so it came to pass that the last two higher than expected monthly inflation indicators begot a higher than expected September-quarter inflation result. And the RBA gover ...
Learn moreLike President Donald Trump’s escalator stopping at the UN, the US Federal Government’s shutdown is producing some outrage, but is largely a non-event. What is important is that the US economy is holding up despite employment and inflation m ...
Learn moreIn August it was the turn for geopolitics to swallow some uncertainty as President Putin went to Alaska. Meanwhile for many central bankers, the (near) future became clearer. Australia cut rates with confidence while Jermome Powell indicated that the Fe ...
Learn moreAs expected, the RBA cut the cash rate by 25 bps to 3.6% at its August meeting. Even your Uber driver could have predicted the outcome given recent data! However, rather than focussing on the interest rate cut they all so desperately wanted last mee ...
Learn morePresident Trump’s July 8 tariff deadline was extended to 1 August to give key negotiations more time. Japan and the EU both walked away with a 15% general tariff from their US “trade deals”. In return, they had to promise a lot of new ...
Learn moreDespite the market having the probability of a 25 bps cut at 97%, the RBA decided to keep the rate on hold at 3.85%. The decision was 6 in favour and 3 against. Both headline inflation and the RBA’s preferred measure trimmed-mean inflation are ...
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