Politics overshadowed the economy in January. Fears of an AI bubble gave way to fears over Venezuela, Greenland, Iran, and Minnesota. However, economics cannot be ignored, and the month ended with the announcement of a new Fed chair, falling gold and si ...
Learn moreThe RBA raised interest rates by 25 bps to 3.85%. It was a unanimous decision. Recent inflation and employment data were hotter than the surface of the courts at the Australian Open! The RBA had signalled at its last meeting that it might need to ra ...
Learn morePrivate credit is stepping in, as Australia's middle market borrowing landscape undergoes a structural shake-up. Bank exposure to unrated mid-sized borrowers has been reduced, and it is this realignment that has created a sustained supp ...
Learn moreThe RBA kept interest rates unchanged at 3.6%. It was a unanimous decision. Recent data has inflation risk moving to the upside. This has pushed the Monetary Policy Board’s thinking towards holding for now, with possible future rises. The Boar ...
Learn moreNovember brought some resolution but not much extra clarity on last month’s headlines. The US government shutdown ended with a whimper. Data is again flowing from US agencies, but not yet enough to fill in the gaps created by the shutdown. Some AI ...
Learn moreStronger than expected inflation data for the September quarter and a jump in unemployment in Australia have scuttled any chance of a rate cut soon. Despite disappointment from mortgage holders, the RBA remains calmly confident and cautious. The US gove ...
Learn moreThe RBA kept interest rates unchanged at 3.6%. It was a unanimous decision. And so it came to pass that the last two higher than expected monthly inflation indicators begot a higher than expected September-quarter inflation result. And the RBA gover ...
Learn moreLike President Donald Trump’s escalator stopping at the UN, the US Federal Government’s shutdown is producing some outrage, but is largely a non-event. What is important is that the US economy is holding up despite employment and inflation m ...
Learn moreThe RBA kept interest rates unchanged at 3.6%. It was a unanimous decision. The RBA gets nervous when data comes in higher or lower than their forecasts. Since the last Monetary Policy Board meeting on 11-12 August, June-quarter GDP, the July monthl ...
Learn moreIn August it was the turn for geopolitics to swallow some uncertainty as President Putin went to Alaska. Meanwhile for many central bankers, the (near) future became clearer. Australia cut rates with confidence while Jermome Powell indicated that the Fe ...
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