News, 03 Aug 2026

US yields and the Japanese Yen

Economic Update - July 2026

Warsh wants the market to lead and the yield of US 30-year government bonds is sending him a message. Similarly, the yen may be sending a message to the Japanese PM. Meanwhile, Australia was steady as it goes, with inflation moving down, household spend ...

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Insights, 06 Jul 2026

Feeling good

Economic Update - June 2026

With the war in the Middle East petering out and after three rate rises this year, the RBA is feeling much better about inflation and its ability to deal with whatever comes next. Warsh put his stamp on the FOMC, and June marks ten years since the Brexi ...

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Insights, 13 Apr 2026

In the Eye of the Storm

Economic Update - March 2026

We are now into the second month of the Iran War, and much like a tropical storm; it is unclear how long it will rage for and how much damage it will do. But the longer it goes on, the worse it will be for the global economy.     ...

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News, 09 Mar 2026

RBA Raises, SaaS Slips, Iran Incursion

Economic Update - February 2026

AI bubble concerns morphed into the 'SaaSpocalypse' as AI agents threaten to eat all software and replace all jobs. Perhaps the governor of the RBA may feel a little nervous as the RBA wrestles with still-rising inflation. Elsewhere, Takaichi re ...

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News, 08 Nov 2024

Back in the USA

Economic Update - October 2024

While the world holds its collective breath for the outcome of the US election, the RBA finds itself stuck with sticky service inflation. What happened in Australia? The RBA just can’t win. While inflation has fallen from 3.8% in the June ...

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News, 02 Aug 2024

Rotation and spinning

Economic Update - July 2024

Continuing good inflation data in the US has sent markets into the “great rotation”. However, the Federal Reserve still needs a little more good news before it decides to cut. In Australia, the all-important June quarter CPI print was a mixe ...

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News, 02 Apr 2024

Stock Market Highs Amidst Global Economic Shifts

Economic Update - March 2024

Bridges may be crashing down, cargo ships sinking in the Red Sea, and the Panama canal drying up but the major stock markets continue to push new highs. If we are in an AI stock market bubble, surely ChatGPT would tell me? The US has gone from &ldqu ...

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