Insights, 06 May 2026

The End of the Beginning

Economic Update - April 2026

The two-week ceasefire for the Iran war became indefinite, according to the US, while the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz was doubled. Markets reacted to daily social media posts from President Trump and Iran with their own rhythm. Central banks are po ...

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Insights, 13 Apr 2026

In the Eye of the Storm

Economic Update - March 2026

We are now into the second month of the Iran War, and much like a tropical storm; it is unclear how long it will rage for and how much damage it will do. But the longer it goes on, the worse it will be for the global economy.     ...

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Insights, 23 May 2025

Post Election Prognosis

Australian Spotlight - May 2025

Two weeks after his election win, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese arrived in Rome in triumph. While Australian prime ministers are not ordained by God, he may have offered his thanks at the first mass of the new pope. Three months ago, many expected ...

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News, 01 Oct 2024

No alarms and no surprises, please

Economic Update - September 2024

Even when central bankers are surprised, they do so conservatively. Jerome Powell cut rates 50 bps but then did his best to allay any concerns that the US economy is secretly worse than it seems. Meanwhile, in Oz, the RBA remains alert but not alar ...

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News, 30 Aug 2024

Central Bank Cowboys

Economic Update - August 2024

What do central bankers like to do in their spare time? If the annual meeting in Jackson Hole Wyoming is a gauge, they like hiking and canoeing. Both activities typically follow a set route and are performed at a leisurely pace. Should we expect anythin ...

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News, 02 Aug 2024

Rotation and spinning

Economic Update - July 2024

Continuing good inflation data in the US has sent markets into the “great rotation”. However, the Federal Reserve still needs a little more good news before it decides to cut. In Australia, the all-important June quarter CPI print was a mixe ...

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