Insights, 06 Jul 2026

Feeling good

Economic Update - June 2026

With the war in the Middle East petering out and after three rate rises this year, the RBA is feeling much better about inflation and its ability to deal with whatever comes next. Warsh put his stamp on the FOMC, and June marks ten years since the Brexi ...

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News, 05 Jun 2026

Time for a Warsh

Economic Update - May 2026

The war in the Middle East continues to play havoc with global inflation, bond yields, and growth. After three-consecutive rate rises, the RBA will likely keep rates on hold next month. Meanwhile, the US is moving from a position of a possible rate cut ...

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Insights, 06 May 2026

The End of the Beginning

Economic Update - April 2026

The two-week ceasefire for the Iran war became indefinite, according to the US, while the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz was doubled. Markets reacted to daily social media posts from President Trump and Iran with their own rhythm. Central banks are po ...

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Insights, 13 Apr 2026

In the Eye of the Storm

Economic Update - March 2026

We are now into the second month of the Iran War, and much like a tropical storm; it is unclear how long it will rage for and how much damage it will do. But the longer it goes on, the worse it will be for the global economy.     ...

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News, 09 Mar 2026

RBA Raises, SaaS Slips, Iran Incursion

Economic Update - February 2026

AI bubble concerns morphed into the 'SaaSpocalypse' as AI agents threaten to eat all software and replace all jobs. Perhaps the governor of the RBA may feel a little nervous as the RBA wrestles with still-rising inflation. Elsewhere, Takaichi re ...

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News, 10 Feb 2026

Silver and Gold

Economic Update - January 2026

Politics overshadowed the economy in January. Fears of an AI bubble gave way to fears over Venezuela, Greenland, Iran, and Minnesota. However, economics cannot be ignored, and the month ended with the announcement of a new Fed chair, falling gold and si ...

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