News, 05 Jun 2026

Time for a Warsh

Economic Update - May 2026

The war in the Middle East continues to play havoc with global inflation, bond yields, and growth. After three-consecutive rate rises, the RBA will likely keep rates on hold next month. Meanwhile, the US is moving from a position of a possible rate cut ...

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Insights, 13 Apr 2026

In the Eye of the Storm

Economic Update - March 2026

We are now into the second month of the Iran War, and much like a tropical storm; it is unclear how long it will rage for and how much damage it will do. But the longer it goes on, the worse it will be for the global economy.     ...

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News, 10 Feb 2026

Silver and Gold

Economic Update - January 2026

Politics overshadowed the economy in January. Fears of an AI bubble gave way to fears over Venezuela, Greenland, Iran, and Minnesota. However, economics cannot be ignored, and the month ended with the announcement of a new Fed chair, falling gold and si ...

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News, 07 Nov 2025

Stronger than expected

Economic Update - October 2025

Stronger than expected inflation data for the September quarter and a jump in unemployment in Australia have scuttled any chance of a rate cut soon. Despite disappointment from mortgage holders, the RBA remains calmly confident and cautious. The US gove ...

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News, 07 Oct 2025

Escalating along despite the bumps and bubbles

Economic Update - October 2025

Like President Donald Trump’s escalator stopping at the UN, the US Federal Government’s shutdown is producing some outrage, but is largely a non-event. What is important is that the US economy is holding up despite employment and inflation m ...

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Insights, 08 Sep 2025

From Alaska with love

Economic Update - August 2025

In August it was the turn for geopolitics to swallow some uncertainty as President Putin went to Alaska. Meanwhile for many central bankers, the (near) future became clearer. Australia cut rates with confidence while Jermome Powell indicated that the Fe ...

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News, 04 Aug 2025

Hail to the Chief

Economic Update - July 2025

President Trump’s July 8 tariff deadline was extended to 1 August to give key negotiations more time. Japan and the EU both walked away with a 15% general tariff from their US “trade deals”. In return, they had to promise a lot of new ...

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News, 01 Jul 2025

Still waiting with Tariffs

Economic Update - June 2025

The attack was unprecedented. Are we talking about Trump’s criticism of Fed chair Jerome Powell, Trump’s attack on Spain’s defence spending, or the US and Israeli attack on Iran? Who knows! But it was certainly another month of waiting ...

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News, 05 Jun 2025

Bracing for Impact

Economic Update - May 2025

The US equity market largely regained the ground lost in April as the market decided that it could see through Trump’s tariff tantrums. Like April, May was marked by more tariffs announcements, followed by more high-level meetings, and followed by ...

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News, 06 May 2025

Tariff Turmoil

Economic Update - April 2025

Liberation Day lived up to the hype and then some. Reading from the Stephen Miran and Peter Navarro playbook, President Trump hit most countries in the World with higher than expected tariffs. Global stock markets plunged, including Australia’s. C ...

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