News, 11 Feb 2025

The Calm before the Storm

Economic Update - Janurary 2025

January felt unusual. While the usual ream of data hit the Bloomberg terminals during the month, many people’s attention turned to a little old party in good ol’ Washington, DC. After his inauguration parade, President Trump sat on stage and ...

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Insights, 25 Jul 2024

The ASX 200 breaks the 8,000 barrier

Australian Spotlight - July 2024

At 10:08 am (AEST) on 15 July 2024, the ASX 200 broke the 8,000 barrier for the first time (see chart below). But unlike the breaking of the 7,000 mark in January 2020, it was more of a raspberry than a bugle call. There is too much uncertainty around t ...

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Insights, 17 Jul 2024

Lets hear it for R-Star

Chart of the Month - July 2024

No, r-star doesn’t stand for “rock star”! Rather, it is the official cash rate that has a neutral impact on an economy: neither contractionary nor expansionary. It is critical for both central bankers and investors. R-star is the i ...

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Insights, 04 Jul 2024

Swimming Nude

Economic Update - June 2024

Tourist and alternative lifestyle mecca Byron Bay may be getting stripped of its nudist beach but it is the RBA that is getting embarrassed by larger than expected figures! Meanwhile, the EU has started cutting, the US remains on course for cuts, Japan ...

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Insights, 12 Mar 2024

Is the US in a debt spiral?

Chart of the Month - March 2024

Have you ever looked at your credit card or mortgage interest payments and felt sick? Well, the US federal government is expected to pay USD 870 billion in interest payments this year which is around USD 48 billion more than it is expected to spend on d ...

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News, 07 Dec 2023

Central Banks Exercise Caution Amidst Inflation Battle

Economic Update - November 2023

Central banks are still waiting to see more data before declaring victory against inflation but it seems like the war has already been won. ”Happy Xmas (The war is over).” Even better, a soft landing still seems the most likely outcome for t ...

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News, 09 May 2023

Economic Update - April 2023

Fears of a financial meltdown in the US and Europe have faded and instead we have returned to regular broadcasting with slowing inflation and slowing economies. The UK with its stubborn inflation remains the odd country out. China is still benefiting fr ...

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