Insights, 06 May 2026

The End of the Beginning

Economic Update - April 2026

The two-week ceasefire for the Iran war became indefinite, according to the US, while the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz was doubled. Markets reacted to daily social media posts from President Trump and Iran with their own rhythm. Central banks are po ...

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Insights, 13 Apr 2026

In the Eye of the Storm

Economic Update - March 2026

We are now into the second month of the Iran War, and much like a tropical storm; it is unclear how long it will rage for and how much damage it will do. But the longer it goes on, the worse it will be for the global economy.     ...

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News, 09 Mar 2026

RBA Raises, SaaS Slips, Iran Incursion

Economic Update - February 2026

AI bubble concerns morphed into the 'SaaSpocalypse' as AI agents threaten to eat all software and replace all jobs. Perhaps the governor of the RBA may feel a little nervous as the RBA wrestles with still-rising inflation. Elsewhere, Takaichi re ...

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Insights, 17 Feb 2026

Record AUD Bond Issuance

Chart of the Month - February 2026

In 2025, Australia was the third-largest bond market globally with a total issuance of AUD 320 billion. 2026 could be even bigger. Through 27 January, AUD bond issuance has set a record pace this year, with over AUD 50.7 billion issued (see chart below) ...

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News, 10 Feb 2026

Silver and Gold

Economic Update - January 2026

Politics overshadowed the economy in January. Fears of an AI bubble gave way to fears over Venezuela, Greenland, Iran, and Minnesota. However, economics cannot be ignored, and the month ended with the announcement of a new Fed chair, falling gold and si ...

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Insights, 12 Jan 2026

2025 Wrapped - Markets, Trump 2.0 and AI

Economic update - 2025 Review

For AI true believers, 2025 should have been the year that ushered in artificial general intelligence. For Trump true believers, 2025 was the year that Trump saved America, again. Everyone else was just happy that the AI boom did not crash and that ...

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