Everything everywhere is happening at once. The bond sell-off continued over the month even as the Fed increased the cash rate. Oil flow from the Middle East is nearing pre-war levels, but oil and diesel prices remain high. And the world freaked out abo ...
Learn moreEverything everywhere is happening at once. The bond sell-off continued over the month even as the Fed increased the cash rate. Oil flow from the M ...
Learn moreEverything everywhere is happening at once. The bond sell-off continued over the month even as the Fed increased the cash rate. Oil flow from the M ...
Learn moreNovember brought some resolution but not much extra clarity on last month’s headlines. The US government shutdown ended with a whimper. Data is again flowing from US agencies, but not yet enough to fill in the gaps created by the shutdown. Some AI ...
Learn moreThe RBA kept interest rates unchanged at 3.6%. It was a unanimous decision. The RBA gets nervous when data comes in higher or lower than their forecasts. Since the last Monetary Policy Board meeting on 11-12 August, June-quarter GDP, the July monthl ...
Learn morePresident Trump’s July 8 tariff deadline was extended to 1 August to give key negotiations more time. Japan and the EU both walked away with a 15% general tariff from their US “trade deals”. In return, they had to promise a lot of new ...
Learn moreGauging the fallout from Trump’s tariffs will take months if not years but for US beef exporters, the impact has been immediate. China is delaying the renewal of export licenses for US abattoirs. Australian beef exporters have experienced similar ...
Learn moreWhen President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on aluminium and steel in his first term, Australia was able to eventually gain an exemption. However, this time around, Trump said there will be no exemptions: “It's 25 per cent, no exemptions, ...
Learn moreEven when central bankers are surprised, they do so conservatively. Jerome Powell cut rates 50 bps but then did his best to allay any concerns that the US economy is secretly worse than it seems. Meanwhile, in Oz, the RBA remains alert but not alar ...
Learn moreWhat do central bankers like to do in their spare time? If the annual meeting in Jackson Hole Wyoming is a gauge, they like hiking and canoeing. Both activities typically follow a set route and are performed at a leisurely pace. Should we expect anythin ...
Learn moreUS consumers seem more Garfield than Furiosa at the moment with some good news on the inflation and consumer confidence fronts in May. Inflation may not be so sticky in the US after all? The Fed Reserve is however still talking tough. Inflation is still ...
Learn moreIt’s not looking good for the Australian dollar. The AUD has been trending down against the greenback since 2021 (AUD/USD)(see chart below). Now, several factors have come together to add a few more anchors to the AUD; it’s down around 6% si ...
Learn moreStock markets in the US and Australia have been flirting with all time highs as the end of year rally continued into January but in China, the situation is not so grand. House prices and consumer spending are down again while stock market lows hav ...
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